Which NBA teams draft the best (according to data science)?
Of all the teams in the NBA, who gets the best drafts and who gets the worst? Brayden Gerrard found out.
Brayden Gerrard analysed the last ten NBA drafts to find out which NBA teams were better at drafting and who faltered.
In his analysis, he did the following:
- He created a metric that scored each draft pick over the last 10 years and comparing each one against players taken after them
- He measured the teams in order of success (with a graph showing scores relative to the average)
So, who was the best team at drafting and who was the worst?
Over the past ten years, the Toronto Raptors have been the best drafting team by a wide margin. This has contributed to seven straight post-season appearances, capped with an NBA Championship in 2019. Meanwhile, Cleveland ranked as the worst drafting team.
Brayden also noted a few surprises (you’ll have to read the article to find out what they were). One thing of note was that about 25% of all draft picks had a score close to zero, “largely due to late draft picks that had low expectations and correspondingly low-impact performance”.